Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left. We project Caufield for 2.0 ESPN points to Wilson's 1.9.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Offensive-zone start % 62.5%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.016.

Wilson's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 117, Blocked shots 53, Hits 179.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.29

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldWilson
Goals (+2)1.180.78
Assists (+1)0.430.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.20
Hits (+0.1)0.080.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldWilson
5Team record in 16 meetings11
17Points in those games11

Caufield 11G 6A, 75 SOG · Wilson 7G 4A, 30 SOG

0Hits on each other5
1Shots blocked by the other1

Caufield blocked 1 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 1 of Caufield's.

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

7:12 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
7–12
36.8%
Expected goals
0.3–0.6
34.4%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Tom Wilson
DateScoreCaufieldWilson
2026-02-28MTL 6–2 WSH2G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-20MTL 4–8 WSH0G 1A 8S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-30 · POMTL 1–4 WSH0G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2025-04-27 · POMTL 2–5 WSH1G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-04-25 · POMTL 6–3 WSH1G 1A 11S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-23 · POMTL 1–3 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-04-21 · POMTL 2–3 WSH1G 0A 5S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-10MTL 3–2 WSH1G 1A 6S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-07MTL 2–4 WSH1G 1A 5S2G 0A 4S
2024-10-31MTL 3–6 WSH1G 0A 2S1G 1A 5S
2024-02-17MTL 3–4 WSH0G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-06MTL 5–2 WSH0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT2.0 pts

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Wilson done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 5–11. Caufield had 17 points (11 goals) and Wilson had 11 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →