Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Collin Graf vs Kirill Marchenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.

Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Graf has 1 game left; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Marchenko for 2.0 ESPN points to Graf's 1.4.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Graf's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.021, Goals above expected +2.0, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.32.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.9%, Fenwick 52.3%, Corsi 52.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Collin Graf

1.35

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGrafMarchenko
Goals (+2)0.490.63
Assists (+1)0.290.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.29
Hits (+0.1)0.110.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Graf vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GrafMarchenko
2Team record in 3 meetings1
1Points in those games2

Graf 0G 1A, 7 SOG · Marchenko 0G 2A, 11 SOG

On the ice against each other (Graf's side)

7:17 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Graf's side

Shot attempts
6–6
50.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.3
73.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Collin Graf and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreGrafMarchenko
2026-03-28SJS 3–2 CBJ0G 0A 6S0G 0A 4S
2026-01-06SJS 5–2 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 1A 4S
2025-01-16SJS 1–4 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GrafMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Collin Graf

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.0 pts

FAQ

Should I start Collin Graf or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Collin Graf or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Graf and Marchenko done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Graf's team went 2–1. Graf had 1 points (0 goals) and Marchenko had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →