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Who to start · 2025-26

Collin Graf vs Tage Thompson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.

Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.

This week Graf has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Graf's 1.4.

Tage Thompson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Graf's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.0, Plus/minus +6, Shorthanded points 3.

Thompson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.9, Offensive-zone time 44.4%, Power-play time per game 3:29.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Collin Graf

1.35

fantasy points per game

Tage Thompson

2.26

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGrafThompson
Goals (+2)0.490.93
Assists (+1)0.290.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.34
Hits (+0.1)0.110.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Graf vs Thompson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GrafThompson
1Team record in 3 meetings2
1Points in those games2

Graf 0G 1A, 4 SOG · Thompson 2G 0A, 5 SOG

On the ice against each other (Graf's side)

6:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Graf's side

Shot attempts
5–10
33.3%
Expected goals
0.5–0.8
37.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Collin Graf and Tage Thompson
DateScoreGrafThompson
2026-03-19SJS 0–5 BUF0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2026-03-10SJS 3–6 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-04SJS 6–2 BUF0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GrafThompson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Collin Graf

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Tage Thompson

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Collin Graf or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Collin Graf or Tage Thompson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Graf and Thompson done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Graf's team went 1–2. Graf had 1 points (0 goals) and Thompson had 2 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →