Who to start · 2025-26
Collin Graf vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Collin Graf projects to 1.35 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Graf has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Graf's 1.4.
Collin Graf has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Graf's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.9, Plus/minus +6, Goals above expected +2.0.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Hardest shot 89.2, Power-play time per game 2:53.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Collin Graf
1.35
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Collin Graf has the edge.
| Points per game from | Graf | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.49 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Graf vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice together
143:26 at 5-on-5 over 23 games, 2025-26
- Shot attempts
- 119–150
- 44.2%
- Expected goals
- 4.6–5.7
- 44.5%
- Goals
- 5–4
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Collin Graf
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Collin Graf or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Collin Graf projects to 1.35 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Collin Graf or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Collin Graf leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →