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Who to start · 2025-26

Collin Graf vs Will Smith

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.

Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.

This week Graf has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Smith for 1.9 ESPN points to Graf's 1.4.

Will Smith has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Graf's biggest edges: Blocked shots 48, Hits 88, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.021.

Smith's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.3%, Hardest shot 90.3, Ascension score 64.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Collin Graf

1.35

fantasy points per game

Will Smith

1.94

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Will Smith has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGrafSmith
Goals (+2)0.490.90
Assists (+1)0.290.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.24
Hits (+0.1)0.110.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.08

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Graf vs Smith

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GrafSmith
6Goals set up by the other3

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

280:45 at 5-on-5 over 30 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
233–276
45.8%
Expected goals
13.0–14.2
47.7%
Goals
14–11

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GrafSmith

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Collin Graf

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Will Smith

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Collin Graf or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Collin Graf or Will Smith?
On 2025-26 numbers, Will Smith leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →