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Who to start · 2025-26

Colton Parayko vs Mike Matheson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73.

Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games.

This week Parayko has 1 game left; Matheson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Parayko for 2.0 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.

Mike Matheson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Parayko's biggest edges: High-danger chances 51.0%, Transition attempts /60 0.62, Expected goals 52.3%.

Matheson's biggest edges: Luck Meter +28, Plus/minus +9, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.035.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Colton Parayko

1.73

fantasy points per game

Mike Matheson

1.80

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mike Matheson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromParaykoMatheson
Goals (+2)0.100.17
Assists (+1)0.230.42
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.16
Hits (+0.1)0.120.07
Blocks (+0.5)1.140.96

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Parayko vs Matheson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ParaykoMatheson
6Team record in 12 meetings6
8Points in those games7

Parayko 6G 2A, 25 SOG · Matheson 1G 6A, 21 SOG

0Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other1

Parayko blocked 2 of Matheson's shots; Matheson blocked 1 of Parayko's.

On the ice against each other (Parayko's side)

17:13 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Parayko's side

Shot attempts
9–12
42.9%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
44.8%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Colton Parayko and Mike Matheson
DateScoreParaykoMatheson
2026-01-03STL 2–0 MTL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-07STL 4–3 MTL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S
2024-10-26STL 2–5 MTL1G 0A 4S0G 2A 0S
2024-02-11STL 7–2 MTL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2023-11-04STL 6–3 MTL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-03-17STL 2–3 PIT0G 1A 0S1G 0A 4S
2022-01-05STL 3–5 PIT1G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2020-03-09STL 1–2 FLA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2019-02-05STL 3–2 FLA1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2018-12-11STL 4–3 FLA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2018-01-09STL 4–7 FLA1G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2017-10-12STL 2–5 FLA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ParaykoMatheson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Colton Parayko

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Likely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B2.0 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

Mike Matheson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Colton Parayko or Mike Matheson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73. Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Colton Parayko or Mike Matheson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mike Matheson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Parayko and Matheson done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Parayko's team went 6–6. Parayko had 8 points (6 goals) and Matheson had 7 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →