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Who to start · 2025-26

Colton Parayko vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Colton Parayko projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Parayko has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left. We project Parayko for 1.7 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.4.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Parayko's biggest edges: Hits 95, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.14, 20+ mph bursts 94.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Offensive-zone time 46.0%, Power-play share 86.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Colton Parayko

1.66

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromParaykoNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.100.56
Assists (+1)0.180.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.18
Hits (+0.1)0.120.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.120.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Parayko vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ParaykoNugent-Hopkins
12Team record in 22 meetings10
11Points in those games17

Parayko 1G 10A, 50 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 6G 11A, 55 SOG

3Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other0

Parayko blocked 3 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 0 of Parayko's.

On the ice against each other (Parayko's side)

16:02 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Parayko's side

Shot attempts
12–21
36.4%
Expected goals
0.3–1.0
26.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Colton Parayko and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreParaykoNugent-Hopkins
2026-01-18STL 0–5 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-11-03STL 3–2 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 2A 0S
2025-02-04STL 2–3 EDM1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-07STL 2–4 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-01STL 3–2 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-02-28STL 2–3 EDM0G 0A 5S0G 2A 2S
2024-02-15STL 6–3 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2022-12-15STL 4–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2022-10-26STL 1–3 EDM0G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S
2022-10-22STL 2–0 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-01STL 5–6 EDM0G 2A 3S0G 0A 0S
2021-12-29STL 4–2 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 22 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ParaykoNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Colton Parayko

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.7 pts
    Schedule edge −12.8 win%

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Colton Parayko or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Colton Parayko projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Colton Parayko or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Parayko and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 22 games against each other in our data, Parayko's team went 12–10. Parayko had 11 points (1 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 17 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →