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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor Bedard vs Dougie Hamilton

Connor BedardConnor BedardBlackhawks · CentrevsDougie HamiltonDougie HamiltonDevils · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.

Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Hamilton had 39 in 77 games.

This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hamilton has 1 left. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Hamilton's 1.6.

Connor Bedard has the better number in 16 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Bedard's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 195, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Fenwick 54.1%, Corsi 54.2%, High-danger chances 54.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor Bedard

2.24

fantasy points per game

Dougie Hamilton

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBedardHamilton
Goals (+2)0.870.31
Assists (+1)0.650.35
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.26
Hits (+0.1)0.040.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.50

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bedard vs Hamilton

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BedardHamilton
0Team record in 3 meetings3
1Points in those games2

Bedard 0G 1A, 12 SOG · Hamilton 1G 1A, 9 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Bedard blocked 0 of Hamilton's shots; Hamilton blocked 1 of Bedard's.

On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)

4:18 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side

Shot attempts
6–7
46.2%
Expected goals
0.4–0.3
55.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Connor Bedard and Dougie Hamilton
DateScoreBedardHamilton
2026-03-29CHI 3–5 NJD0G 1A 6S1G 0A 4S
2024-12-14CHI 1–4 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-05CHI 2–4 NJD0G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BedardHamilton

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor Bedard

3games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Connor Bedard or Dougie Hamilton in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Hamilton had 39 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor Bedard or Dougie Hamilton?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor Bedard leads in 16 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bedard and Hamilton done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 0–3. Bedard had 1 points (0 goals) and Hamilton had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →