Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Dylan Guenther
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor Bedard's 2.24.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Guenther has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Bedard's 2.4.
Dylan Guenther has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%.
Guenther's biggest edges: Fenwick 53.5%, Corsi 53.1%, Plus/minus +7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Dylan Guenther
2.15
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Guenther |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 1.01 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.42 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Guenther
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 4G 10A, 33 SOG · Guenther 5G 2A, 33 SOG
Bedard's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Bedard's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
15:16 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–14
- 56.3%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.8
- 57.7%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Guenther |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | CHI 3–2 UTA | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2026-03-09 | CHI 3–2 UTA | 0G 2A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-01 | CHI 4–0 UTA | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-13 | CHI 3–1 UTA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-30 | CHI 2–5 UTA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-07 | CHI 4–3 UTA | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2025-02-25 | CHI 1–2 UTA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-08 | CHI 2–5 UTA | 0G 2A 5S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2024-03-10 | CHI 7–4 ARI | 2G 1A 7S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-03-05 | CHI 5–2 ARI | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Dylan Guenther
3games (2 left)
3.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Dylan Guenther in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor Bedard's 2.24. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Dylan Guenther?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Guenther done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 7–3. Bedard had 14 points (4 goals) and Guenther had 7 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Bedard or Guenther?
- Against each other, Bedard has won 1 and Guenther 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →