Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Gabriel Vilardi
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Vilardi had 69 in 82 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Vilardi has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.
Connor Bedard has the better number in 21 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 195, Transition attempts /60 1.85, Hardest shot 90.7.
Vilardi's biggest edges: Scoring chances 51.6%, Sequence xG 50.8%, Expected goals 50.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Gabriel Vilardi
1.77
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Vilardi |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.73 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Vilardi
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 4G 5A, 19 SOG · Vilardi 3G 2A, 21 SOG
Bedard blocked 0 of Vilardi's shots; Vilardi blocked 1 of Bedard's.
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
21:55 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–20
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–1.4
- 23.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Vilardi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | CHI 3–4 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-03 | CHI 2–3 WPG | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-19 | CHI 2–0 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-30 | CHI 3–6 WPG | 0G 2A 3S | 2G 1A 5S |
| 2024-12-07 | CHI 2–4 WPG | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-11 | CHI 1–2 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-23 | CHI 2–3 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-27 | CHI 2–1 WPG | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-02 | CHI 1–3 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Gabriel Vilardi
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Gabriel Vilardi in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Vilardi had 69 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Gabriel Vilardi?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor Bedard leads in 21 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Vilardi done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 2–7. Bedard had 9 points (4 goals) and Vilardi had 5 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →