Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Jake Guentzel
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left; Guentzel has 1 left. We project Guentzel for 2.3 ESPN points to Bedard's 2.2.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 23 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Hardest shot 90.7, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25, Transition attempts /60 1.85.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Scoring chances 56.2%, High-danger chances 55.6%, Plus/minus +13.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Jake Guentzel
2.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.94 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Guentzel
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 1G 2A, 12 SOG · Guentzel 2G 4A, 18 SOG
Bedard's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Bedard's defensive zone 1–0 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
6:05 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–6
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.4
- 55.4%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | CHI 1–2 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-23 | CHI 3–2 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-28 | CHI 4–1 TBL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-24 | CHI 3–4 TBL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-04-14 | CHI 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-10 | CHI 4–2 PIT | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.2 ptsSchedule edge −1.0 win%
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.3 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Jake Guentzel?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 23 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Guentzel done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 3–3. Bedard had 3 points (1 goals) and Guentzel had 6 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Bedard or Guentzel?
- Against each other, Bedard has won 2 and Guentzel 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →