Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Morgan Frost
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Bedard's 2.4.
They split the 35 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Bedard's biggest edges: Hardest shot 90.7, Transition attempts /60 1.85, Ice time per game 20:52.
Frost's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 56.8%, Draw Equity /100 +0.083, Goals above expected +3.0.
Head to head on the dot, Bedard leads Frost 6–6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Morgan Frost
1.37
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Frost |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.54 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.26 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Frost
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 4G 4A, 22 SOG · Frost 0G 0A, 11 SOG
Bedard's offensive zone 2–1 · neutral 1–5 · Bedard's defensive zone 3–0 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
10:33 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–11
- 54.2%
- Expected goals
- 1.2–0.4
- 76.3%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | CHI 1–3 CGY | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-18 | CHI 5–2 CGY | 3G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-07 | CHI 4–0 CGY | 1G 3A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-23 | CHI 2–3 PHI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-30 | CHI 5–1 PHI | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-21 | CHI 1–3 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Morgan Frost?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 35 stats where both qualify.
- How have Bedard and Frost done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 3–3. Bedard had 8 points (4 goals) and Frost had 0 (0 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Bedard or Frost?
- Against each other, Bedard has won 6 and Frost 6 of their 12 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →