Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Seth Jarvis
In 2025-26, Connor Bedard scored 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.3.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 16 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1008, Luck Meter +36, Penalty minutes 50.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Fenwick 59.7%, Corsi 60.4%, Scoring chances 55.6%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 2G 2A, 8 SOG · Jarvis 4G 2A, 13 SOG
On the ice against each other (Bedard's side)
9:34 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Bedard's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–10
- 41.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.4
- 33.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | CHI 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-30 | CHI 2–3 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-20 | CHI 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-14 | CHI 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-19 | CHI 3–6 CAR | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.8 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- In 2025-26, Connor Bedard scored 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 16 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 1–4. Bedard had 4 points (2 goals) and Jarvis had 6 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →