Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Bedard vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24.
Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Bedard has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left. We project Bedard for 2.0 ESPN points to Wilson's 1.9.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Bedard's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%.
Wilson's biggest edges: Scoring chances 56.3%, High-danger chances 56.3%, Fenwick 55.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.20
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.
| Points per game from | Bedard | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.87 | 0.83 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Bedard vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Bedard 0G 2A, 16 SOG · Wilson 1G 0A, 12 SOG
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Bedard | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-04 | CHI 3–5 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-17 | CHI 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-09 | CHI 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-10 | CHI 2–4 WSH | 0G 2A 6S | 0G 0A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.0 ptsSchedule edge −1.0 win%
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Bedard or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24. Bedard had 75 points in 69 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor Bedard or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Bedard and Wilson done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Bedard's team went 1–3. Bedard had 2 points (0 goals) and Wilson had 1 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →