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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Dougie Hamilton

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Hamilton had 39 in 77 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hamilton has 1 left. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Hamilton's 1.6.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 681, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Top skating speed 24.6.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Hardest shot 96.5, Hits 87, Faceoffs won 0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Dougie Hamilton

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidHamilton
Goals (+2)1.150.42
Assists (+1)1.320.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.28
Hits (+0.1)0.050.12
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.50

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Hamilton

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidHamilton
4Team record in 14 meetings10
20Points in those games10

McDavid 7G 13A, 50 SOG · Hamilton 2G 8A, 42 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other3

McDavid blocked 0 of Hamilton's shots; Hamilton blocked 3 of McDavid's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

11:43 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
17–6
73.9%
Expected goals
0.6–0.2
73.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Dougie Hamilton
DateScoreMcDavidHamilton
2026-01-20EDM 1–2 NJD0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-18EDM 3–5 NJD0G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-21EDM 2–5 NJD0G 1A 5S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-03EDM 3–4 NJD1G 1A 4S0G 0A 9S
2022-03-19EDM 6–3 NJD1G 2A 4S0G 1A 1S
2021-12-31EDM 5–6 NJD2G 0A 3S0G 2A 5S
2019-12-10EDM 3–6 CAR0G 3A 1S1G 1A 5S
2019-02-15EDM 1–3 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2019-01-20EDM 4–7 CAR0G 2A 2S0G 0A 3S
2018-03-31EDM 2–3 CGY0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2018-03-13EDM 0–1 CGY0G 0A 5S0G 0A 5S
2018-01-25EDM 4–3 CGY0G 1A 7S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidHamilton

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Dougie Hamilton in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Hamilton had 39 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Dougie Hamilton?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Hamilton done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 4–10. McDavid had 20 points (7 goals) and Hamilton had 10 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →