Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Eetu Luostarinen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eetu Luostarinen's 1.51.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Luostarinen had 33 in 73 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Luostarinen has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Luostarinen's 1.5.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 30 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.12, 20+ mph bursts 681, Power-play points 54.
Luostarinen's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.012, Hits 121, Blocked shots 57.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Eetu Luostarinen
1.51
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Luostarinen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 0.50 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.27 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Luostarinen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 7G 24A, 68 SOG · Luostarinen 2G 9A, 28 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 1–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 1–1 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
7:50 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–3
- 72.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.0
- 98.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Luostarinen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | EDM 0–4 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-06-17 · PO | EDM 1–5 FLA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-06-14 · PO | EDM 2–5 FLA | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-06-12 · PO | EDM 5–4 FLA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-06-09 · PO | EDM 1–6 FLA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-06-06 · PO | EDM 4–5 FLA | 0G 3A 7S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-06-04 · PO | EDM 4–3 FLA | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-02-27 | EDM 3–4 FLA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-16 | EDM 5–6 FLA | 0G 3A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-06-24 · PO | EDM 1–2 FLA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-06-21 · PO | EDM 5–1 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-06-18 · PO | EDM 5–3 FLA | 2G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Eetu Luostarinen
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Eetu Luostarinen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eetu Luostarinen's 1.51. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Luostarinen had 33 in 73 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Eetu Luostarinen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 30 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Luostarinen done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 8–14. McDavid had 31 points (7 goals) and Luostarinen had 11 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Luostarinen?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 3 and Luostarinen 1 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →