Who to start · 2025-26
Eetu Luostarinen vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eetu Luostarinen's 1.51.
Luostarinen had 33 points in 73 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Luostarinen has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Luostarinen's 1.5.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Luostarinen's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.012, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.50, Blocked shots 57.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.83, 20+ mph bursts 455, Offensive-zone start % 71.8%.
Head to head on the dot, Luostarinen leads MacKinnon 6–4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eetu Luostarinen
1.51
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Luostarinen | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Luostarinen vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Luostarinen 1G 0A, 16 SOG · MacKinnon 4G 8A, 36 SOG
Luostarinen's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 3–2 · Luostarinen's defensive zone 2–0 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Luostarinen's side)
14:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Luostarinen's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–9
- 64.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.3
- 78.5%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Luostarinen | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | FLA 2–1 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-12-11 | FLA 2–6 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 7S |
| 2025-01-06 | FLA 1–3 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-23 | FLA 4–7 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-02-10 | FLA 4–0 COL | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-06 | FLA 8–4 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-02-11 | FLA 3–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 6S |
| 2023-01-10 | FLA 5–4 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2021-12-12 | FLA 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2021-10-21 | FLA 4–1 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eetu Luostarinen
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eetu Luostarinen or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eetu Luostarinen's 1.51. Luostarinen had 33 points in 73 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eetu Luostarinen or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Luostarinen and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Luostarinen's team went 5–5. Luostarinen had 1 points (1 goals) and MacKinnon had 12 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Luostarinen or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Luostarinen has won 6 and MacKinnon 4 of their 10 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →