Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Filip Hronek
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hronek has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to McDavid's 2.3.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, Expected goals 56.5%, Sequence xG 56.6%.
Hronek's biggest edges: Hits 133, Hardest shot 95.6, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.069.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Filip Hronek
2.03
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Hronek |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 0.17 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.71 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Hronek
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 6G 32A, 77 SOG · Hronek 3G 13A, 32 SOG
McDavid blocked 4 of Hronek's shots; Hronek blocked 8 of McDavid's.
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
55:23 at 5-on-5 over 6 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 60–34
- 63.8%
- Expected goals
- 3.2–1.7
- 65.2%
- Goals
- 4–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Hronek |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | EDM 9–7 VAN | 1G 4A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2026-09-29 | EDM 5–6 VAN | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2026-04-16 | EDM 6–1 VAN | 0G 4A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-17 | EDM 6–0 VAN | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-26 | EDM 3–4 VAN | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-10-11 | EDM 3–1 VAN | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-01-18 | EDM 2–3 VAN | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-09 | EDM 7–3 VAN | 1G 2A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-05-20 · PO | EDM 3–2 VAN | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-18 · PO | EDM 5–1 VAN | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-05-16 · PO | EDM 2–3 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-05-14 · PO | EDM 3–2 VAN | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Filip Hronek
4games (2 left)
3.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ EDMOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs EDMOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.3 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Filip Hronek in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Filip Hronek?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Hronek done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 12–13. McDavid had 38 points (6 goals) and Hronek had 16 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →