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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs MacKenzie Weegar

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Weegar has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to McDavid's 2.3.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, High-danger chances 57.5%.

Weegar's biggest edges: Hits 167, Blocked shots 175, Hardest shot 91.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

MacKenzie Weegar

1.93

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidWeegar
Goals (+2)1.150.09
Assists (+1)1.320.28
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.20
Hits (+0.1)0.050.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.221.07

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Weegar

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidWeegar
10Team record in 21 meetings11
36Points in those games9

McDavid 11G 25A, 76 SOG · Weegar 2G 7A, 43 SOG

1Hits on each other9
2Shots blocked by the other5

McDavid blocked 2 of Weegar's shots; Weegar blocked 5 of McDavid's.

2Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

44:27 at 5-on-5 over 6 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
47–46
50.5%
Expected goals
1.9–2.0
49.1%
Goals
2–3

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and MacKenzie Weegar
DateScoreMcDavidWeegar
2026-04-07EDM 5–6 UTA1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-24EDM 5–2 UTA2G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2026-02-04EDM 3–4 CGY0G 1A 8S0G 2A 2S
2025-12-27EDM 2–3 CGY1G 0A 7S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-23EDM 5–1 CGY0G 5A 6S1G 0A 2S
2025-10-08EDM 3–4 CGY0G 2A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-13EDM 1–4 CGY0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-06EDM 4–2 CGY0G 2A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-24EDM 3–6 CGY0G 2A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-01-20EDM 3–1 CGY0G 0A 2S1G 0A 6S
2023-10-29EDM 5–2 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 2A 3S
2022-12-27EDM 2–1 CGY1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidWeegar

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or MacKenzie Weegar in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or MacKenzie Weegar?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Weegar done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 10–11. McDavid had 36 points (11 goals) and Weegar had 9 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →