Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Mattias Ekholm

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ekholm has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Ascension score 62, Goals above expected +0.6, 20+ mph bursts 681.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.4, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.038, Blocked shots 125.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidEkholm
Goals (+2)1.150.13
Assists (+1)1.320.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.15
Hits (+0.1)0.050.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidEkholm
9Team record in 14 meetings5
29Points in those games6

McDavid 8G 21A, 50 SOG · Ekholm 2G 4A, 27 SOG

0Hits on each other4
2Shots blocked by the other5

McDavid blocked 2 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 5 of McDavid's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1
25Goals set up by the other12

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

940:49 at 5-on-5 over 90 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27

Shot attempts
1013–793
56.1%
Expected goals
56.1–38.4
59.3%
Goals
53–48

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreMcDavidEkholm
2022-12-19EDM 3–4 NSH0G 2A 1S1G 0A 5S
2022-12-13EDM 6–3 NSH1G 3A 6S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-01EDM 7–4 NSH2G 2A 8S1G 0A 5S
2022-04-14EDM 4–0 NSH0G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-01-27EDM 3–2 NSH1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-03EDM 5–2 NSH0G 2A 1S0G 0A 2S
2020-03-02EDM 8–3 NSH1G 4A 1S0G 0A 2S
2020-02-08EDM 3–2 NSH0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2020-01-14EDM 4–2 NSH0G 3A 4S0G 0A 2S
2018-10-27EDM 5–3 NSH1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2018-10-20EDM 0–3 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2018-03-01EDM 2–4 NSH1G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidEkholm

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Ekholm done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 9–5. McDavid had 29 points (8 goals) and Ekholm had 6 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →