Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Mike Matheson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Matheson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.7%, High-danger chances 57.5%, Offensive-zone start % 65.6%.
Matheson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 100.6, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.035, Blocked shots 150.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Mike Matheson
1.80
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Matheson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 0.17 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.42 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.01 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.96 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Matheson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 9G 21A, 46 SOG · Matheson 0G 7A, 30 SOG
McDavid blocked 0 of Matheson's shots; Matheson blocked 4 of McDavid's.
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
25:27 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 22–25
- 46.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–1.6
- 29.4%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Matheson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | EDM 1–4 MTL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-23 | EDM 6–5 MTL | 0G 3A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-06 | EDM 3–2 MTL | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-18 | EDM 0–3 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-03-19 | EDM 3–2 MTL | 1G 1A 9S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-13 | EDM 2–1 MTL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-02-12 | EDM 2–6 MTL | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-12-03 | EDM 5–3 MTL | 2G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2022-04-26 | EDM 5–1 PIT | 1G 3A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-12-01 | EDM 5–2 PIT | 1G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-01-10 | EDM 4–3 FLA | 2G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2018-11-08 | EDM 1–4 FLA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Mike Matheson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Mike Matheson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Mike Matheson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Matheson done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 9–5. McDavid had 30 points (9 goals) and Matheson had 7 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →