Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left. We project McDavid for 2.8 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.0.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 457, High-danger chances 57.5%, Penalty minutes 44.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Hardest shot 88.2, Hits 81.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.21
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.17 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.10 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 6G 11A, 34 SOG · Jarvis 1G 2A, 20 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 2–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 1–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
McDavid blocked 1 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 1 of McDavid's.
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
20:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–24
- 45.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.8
- 51.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | EDM 3–6 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-15 | EDM 4–3 CAR | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-01 | EDM 3–1 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-22 | EDM 2–3 CAR | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-06 | EDM 6–1 CAR | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-22 | EDM 3–6 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-11-10 | EDM 2–7 CAR | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-10-20 | EDM 6–4 CAR | 1G 3A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-02-27 | EDM 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-12-11 | EDM 1–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.8 pts
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.0 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 4–6. McDavid had 17 points (6 goals) and Jarvis had 3 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Jarvis?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 4 and Jarvis 2 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →