Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Vince Dunn
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to McDavid's 2.3.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, High-danger chances 57.5%, Expected goals 56.5%.
Dunn's biggest edges: Hardest shot 94.2, On-ice PDO 1012, Luck Meter +17.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Vince Dunn
1.83
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.53 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Dunn
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 15G 15A, 76 SOG · Dunn 2G 9A, 51 SOG
McDavid blocked 0 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 2 of McDavid's.
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
42:29 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 41–37
- 52.6%
- Expected goals
- 2.2–1.3
- 62.6%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Dunn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | EDM 3–0 SEA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-12-04 | EDM 9–4 SEA | 3G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-29 | EDM 4–0 SEA | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-25 | EDM 2–3 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-27 | EDM 4–2 SEA | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-01-04 | EDM 4–2 SEA | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-02 | EDM 2–1 SEA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-11-15 | EDM 4–3 SEA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-11-11 | EDM 4–1 SEA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-03-18 | EDM 6–4 SEA | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-17 | EDM 5–2 SEA | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-03 | EDM 2–5 SEA | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Vince Dunn
3games (2 left)
3.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Vince Dunn?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Dunn done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 16–9. McDavid had 30 points (15 goals) and Dunn had 11 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →