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Who to start · 2025-26

Cutter Gauthier vs John Carlson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cutter Gauthier projects to 2.18 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10.

Gauthier had 69 points in 76 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.

This week Gauthier has 1 game left; Carlson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Gauthier for 1.7 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.

Cutter Gauthier has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Gauthier's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.021, 20+ mph bursts 205, Hits 64.

Carlson's biggest edges: Blocked shots 106, On-ice PDO 1009, Faceoffs won 0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cutter Gauthier

2.18

fantasy points per game

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cutter Gauthier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGauthierCarlson
Goals (+2)1.010.37
Assists (+1)0.410.61
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.380.23
Hits (+0.1)0.100.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.76

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Gauthier vs Carlson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GauthierCarlson
0Team record in 3 meetings3
2Points in those games4

Gauthier 0G 2A, 8 SOG · Carlson 2G 2A, 6 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Gauthier blocked 1 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 1 of Gauthier's.

3Goals set up by the other0

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Gauthier's side)

4:18 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Gauthier's side

Shot attempts
4–2
66.7%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
96.4%
Goals
0–0

On the ice together

102:47 at 5-on-5 over 22 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
126–90
58.3%
Expected goals
6.3–3.9
62.1%
Goals
5–4

Games against each other

Games between Cutter Gauthier and John Carlson
DateScoreGauthierCarlson
2026-01-05ANA 4–7 WSH0G 1A 4S1G 1A 2S
2025-03-11ANA 4–7 WSH0G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-14ANA 0–3 WSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GauthierCarlson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cutter Gauthier

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.7 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Cutter Gauthier or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cutter Gauthier projects to 2.18 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10. Gauthier had 69 points in 76 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cutter Gauthier or John Carlson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cutter Gauthier leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Gauthier and Carlson done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Gauthier's team went 0–3. Gauthier had 2 points (0 goals) and Carlson had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →