Who to start · 2025-26
Darnell Nurse vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Nurse has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Nurse for 2.1 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Pavel Buchnevich has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Nurse's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.2, Transition attempts /60 0.90, Hits 137.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1000, Offensive-zone time 42.9%, Sequence xG 52.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Darnell Nurse
1.83
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Darnell Nurse has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nurse | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.16 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.11 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nurse vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nurse 1G 9A, 46 SOG · Buchnevich 6G 9A, 35 SOG
Nurse blocked 6 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 1 of Nurse's.
On the ice against each other (Nurse's side)
19:06 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Nurse's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–20
- 39.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.8
- 29.3%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nurse | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | EDM 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-18 | EDM 5–0 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-03 | EDM 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-09 | EDM 4–3 STL | 0G 2A 1S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2025-02-04 | EDM 3–2 STL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-07 | EDM 4–2 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-04-01 | EDM 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-02-28 | EDM 3–2 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-15 | EDM 3–6 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-12-15 | EDM 3–4 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-04-01 | EDM 6–5 STL | 1G 1A 3S | 2G 0A 6S |
| 2021-11-14 | EDM 5–4 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Darnell Nurse
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.1 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Darnell Nurse or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Darnell Nurse or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Buchnevich leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nurse and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Nurse's team went 11–7. Nurse had 10 points (1 goals) and Buchnevich had 15 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →