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Who to start · 2025-26

Darnell Nurse vs Ryan O'Reilly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Darnell Nurse's 1.83.

Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Nurse has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Nurse for 2.1 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Nurse's biggest edges: Hits 137, Transition attempts /60 0.90, Top skating speed 23.2.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Plus/minus +8, Luck Meter +52, On-ice PDO 1023.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Darnell Nurse

1.83

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNurseO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.160.58
Assists (+1)0.190.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.20
Hits (+0.1)0.170.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.110.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nurse vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NurseO'Reilly
13Team record in 23 meetings10
12Points in those games15

Nurse 4G 8A, 51 SOG · O'Reilly 7G 8A, 51 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other2

Nurse blocked 0 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 2 of Nurse's.

1Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Nurse's side)

15:10 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Nurse's side

Shot attempts
24–13
64.9%
Expected goals
0.9–0.7
56.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Darnell Nurse and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreNurseO'Reilly
2026-03-15EDM 3–1 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-13EDM 3–4 NSH0G 0A 5S0G 1A 2S
2026-01-06EDM 6–2 NSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-14EDM 3–2 NSH2G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-31EDM 5–1 NSH0G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-17EDM 4–2 NSH0G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-27EDM 4–1 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-04EDM 2–5 NSH1G 0A 4S3G 1A 3S
2023-10-17EDM 6–1 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-01EDM 5–2 TOR0G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-15EDM 3–4 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2022-10-26EDM 3–1 STL0G 1A 1S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NurseO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Darnell Nurse

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Darnell Nurse or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Darnell Nurse's 1.83. Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Darnell Nurse or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nurse and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Nurse's team went 13–10. Nurse had 12 points (4 goals) and O'Reilly had 15 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →