Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Darnell Nurse vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Darnell Nurse's 1.83.

Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Nurse has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left. We project Nurse for 1.8 ESPN points to Hertl's 1.8.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Nurse's biggest edges: Goals above expected +0.8, Top skating speed 23.2, 20+ mph bursts 101.

Hertl's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.7%, Ascension score 61, Scoring chances 56.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Darnell Nurse

1.83

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNurseHertl
Goals (+2)0.160.63
Assists (+1)0.190.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.27
Hits (+0.1)0.170.14
Blocks (+0.5)1.110.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nurse vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NurseHertl
20Team record in 33 meetings13
16Points in those games25

Nurse 4G 12A, 70 SOG · Hertl 12G 13A, 79 SOG

7Hits on each other2
5Shots blocked by the other3

Nurse blocked 5 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 3 of Nurse's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Nurse's side)

21:16 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Nurse's side

Shot attempts
20–26
43.5%
Expected goals
0.4–2.1
16.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Darnell Nurse and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreNurseHertl
2026-04-04EDM 1–5 VGK0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-26EDM 4–3 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2026-03-08EDM 4–2 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-21EDM 4–3 VGK0G 1A 1S1G 2A 5S
2025-05-14 · POEDM 1–0 VGK0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-12 · POEDM 3–0 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-10 · POEDM 3–4 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2025-05-08 · POEDM 5–4 VGK1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-05-06 · POEDM 4–2 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-14EDM 6–3 VGK0G 2A 4S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-03EDM 0–1 VGK0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-06EDM 2–4 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 33 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NurseHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Darnell Nurse

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.8 pts

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Darnell Nurse or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Darnell Nurse's 1.83. Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Darnell Nurse or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nurse and Hertl done against each other?
In 33 games against each other in our data, Nurse's team went 20–13. Nurse had 16 points (4 goals) and Hertl had 25 (12 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →