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Who to start · 2025-26

David Pastrnak vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Pastrnak for 1.8 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.

David Pastrnak has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: Power-play share 82.4%, Offensive-zone time 43.6%, Offensive-zone start % 64.7%.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.7, Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 150.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

David Pastrnak

2.44

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPastrnakFerraro
Goals (+2)0.660.29
Assists (+1)0.930.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.13
Hits (+0.1)0.100.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PastrnakFerraro
9Team record in 12 meetings3
18Points in those games3

Pastrnak 8G 10A, 51 SOG · Ferraro 2G 1A, 18 SOG

1Hits on each other2
2Shots blocked by the other3

Pastrnak blocked 2 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 3 of Pastrnak's.

On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)

19:01 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Pastrnak's side

Shot attempts
26–11
70.3%
Expected goals
1.0–0.2
83.3%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between David Pastrnak and Mario Ferraro
DateScorePastrnakFerraro
2026-10-02BOS 4–3 WPG0G 2A 4S1G 0A 3S
2026-03-12BOS 2–4 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-23BOS 1–3 SJS0G 1A 6S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-22BOS 1–3 SJS0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-20BOS 6–3 SJS1G 1A 6S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-30BOS 3–0 SJS0G 2A 4S0G 0A 4S
2023-10-19BOS 3–1 SJS1G 0A 5S0G 0A 6S
2023-01-22BOS 4–0 SJS1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-07BOS 4–2 SJS2G 0A 7S1G 0A 1S
2022-02-26BOS 3–1 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2021-10-24BOS 4–3 SJS1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2019-10-29BOS 5–1 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PastrnakFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start David Pastrnak or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, David Pastrnak or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, David Pastrnak leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pastrnak and Ferraro done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 9–3. Pastrnak had 18 points (8 goals) and Ferraro had 3 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →