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Who to start · 2025-26

David Pastrnak vs Pavel Buchnevich

David PastrnakDavid PastrnakBruins · Right wingvsPavel BuchnevichPavel BuchnevichBlues · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.

This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Pastrnak for 1.9 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.

David Pastrnak has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.66, Plus/minus +4, Hits 86.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 98, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022, High-danger chances 50.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

David Pastrnak

2.44

fantasy points per game

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPastrnakBuchnevich
Goals (+2)0.660.46
Assists (+1)0.930.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.16
Hits (+0.1)0.100.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Buchnevich

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PastrnakBuchnevich
12Team record in 21 meetings9
32Points in those games17

Pastrnak 10G 22A, 77 SOG · Buchnevich 5G 12A, 45 SOG

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)

3:49 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side

Shot attempts
5–5
50.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.5
57.7%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between David Pastrnak and Pavel Buchnevich
DateScorePastrnakBuchnevich
2025-12-09BOS 5–2 STL0G 3A 3S0G 2A 2S
2024-11-16BOS 2–3 STL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-12BOS 3–2 STL1G 1A 10S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-11BOS 1–5 STL1G 0A 6S0G 1A 3S
2024-01-13BOS 4–3 STL0G 2A 4S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-07BOS 3–1 STL0G 1A 5S0G 0A 4S
2021-05-08BOS 4–5 NYR1G 0A 2S0G 3A 4S
2021-03-13BOS 0–4 NYR0G 0A 3S1G 1A 3S
2021-03-11BOS 4–0 NYR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2021-02-28BOS 4–1 NYR0G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2021-02-26BOS 2–6 NYR0G 2A 4S1G 0A 6S
2021-02-12BOS 1–0 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PastrnakBuchnevich

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Likely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start David Pastrnak or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, David Pastrnak or Pavel Buchnevich?
On 2025-26 numbers, David Pastrnak leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pastrnak and Buchnevich done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 12–9. Pastrnak had 32 points (10 goals) and Buchnevich had 17 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →