Who to start · 2025-26
David Pastrnak vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.
Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Pastrnak's 1.8.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Pastrnak's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1027, Penalty minutes 72, Hardest shot 93.1.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Top skating speed 23.4, Fenwick 59.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
David Pastrnak
2.54
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.
| Points per game from | Pastrnak | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.75 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.92 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Pastrnak 10G 13A, 92 SOG · Jarvis 7G 6A, 56 SOG
On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)
9:31 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–13
- 43.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.8
- 52.3%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Pastrnak | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | BOS 5–6 CAR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-17 | BOS 1–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-01 | BOS 2–1 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-05 | BOS 5–1 CAR | 3G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-03-06 | BOS 2–3 CAR | 0G 1A 7S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-31 | BOS 2–8 CAR | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-04-09 | BOS 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2024-04-04 | BOS 4–1 CAR | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-24 | BOS 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-03-26 | BOS 4–3 CAR | 2G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2023-01-29 | BOS 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-25 | BOS 3–2 CAR | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 21 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
David Pastrnak
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start David Pastrnak or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, David Pastrnak or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Pastrnak and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 21 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 8–13. Pastrnak had 23 points (10 goals) and Jarvis had 13 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →