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Who to start · 2025-26

David Pastrnak vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.

Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Pastrnak's 1.8.

David Pastrnak has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1027, Plus/minus +4, Luck Meter +8.

Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 720, High-danger chances 59.2%, Ascension score 61.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

David Pastrnak

2.44

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPastrnakHertl
Goals (+2)0.660.63
Assists (+1)0.930.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.27
Hits (+0.1)0.100.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PastrnakHertl
10Team record in 13 meetings3
17Points in those games6

Pastrnak 8G 9A, 45 SOG · Hertl 4G 2A, 42 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other2

Pastrnak blocked 0 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 2 of Pastrnak's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)

7:50 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side

Shot attempts
14–4
77.8%
Expected goals
1.1–0.1
92.4%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between David Pastrnak and Tomas Hertl
DateScorePastrnakHertl
2026-01-22BOS 4–3 VGK1G 2A 6S1G 0A 9S
2025-10-16BOS 5–6 VGK1G 0A 4S1G 0A 6S
2025-03-20BOS 1–5 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-08BOS 3–4 VGK0G 1A 5S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-30BOS 3–0 SJS0G 2A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-19BOS 3–1 SJS1G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2023-01-22BOS 4–0 SJS1G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-07BOS 4–2 SJS2G 0A 7S0G 0A 3S
2022-02-26BOS 3–1 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2021-10-24BOS 4–3 SJS1G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2019-10-29BOS 5–1 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2017-11-18BOS 3–1 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PastrnakHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start David Pastrnak or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, David Pastrnak or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, David Pastrnak leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pastrnak and Hertl done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 10–3. Pastrnak had 17 points (8 goals) and Hertl had 6 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →