Who to start · 2025-26
Dawson Mercer vs Macklin Celebrini
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dawson Mercer's 1.28.
Mercer had 42 points in 82 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.
This week Mercer has 1 game left; Celebrini has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Mercer's 1.2.
Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 27 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Mercer's biggest edges: Fenwick 53.0%, Corsi 52.6%, High-danger chances 51.6%.
Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Luck Meter +76, On-ice PDO 1036.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dawson Mercer
1.28
fantasy points per game
Macklin Celebrini
3.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.
| Points per game from | Mercer | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.46 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.25 | 0.99 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.22 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Mercer vs Celebrini
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Mercer 2G 1A, 7 SOG · Celebrini 1G 2A, 9 SOG
Mercer's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Mercer's defensive zone 1–0 (2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Mercer's side)
7:43 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Mercer's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–5
- 54.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.1
- 40.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Mercer | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | NJD 2–5 SJS | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-10-24 | NJD 3–1 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-01-04 | NJD 2–3 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-10 | NJD 0–1 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dawson Mercer
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.2 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Macklin Celebrini
2games (1 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dawson Mercer or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dawson Mercer's 1.28. Mercer had 42 points in 82 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dawson Mercer or Macklin Celebrini?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 27 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Mercer and Celebrini done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Mercer's team went 1–3. Mercer had 3 points (2 goals) and Celebrini had 3 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Mercer or Celebrini?
- Against each other, Mercer has won 1 and Celebrini 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →