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Who to start · 2025-26

Dougie Hamilton vs Kirill Marchenko

Dougie HamiltonDougie HamiltonDevils · DefencevsKirill MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoMaple Leafs · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.

Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Hamilton's 1.6.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, High-danger chances 54.4%, Goals above expected +1.4.

Marchenko's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 301, Top skating speed 23.4, On-ice PDO 1024.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dougie Hamilton

1.74

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHamiltonMarchenko
Goals (+2)0.420.63
Assists (+1)0.330.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.29
Hits (+0.1)0.120.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.500.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HamiltonMarchenko
4Team record in 6 meetings2
0Points in those games4

Hamilton 0G 0A, 16 SOG · Marchenko 1G 3A, 17 SOG

2Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Hamilton blocked 0 of Marchenko's shots; Marchenko blocked 1 of Hamilton's.

On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)

14:38 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side

Shot attempts
16–15
51.6%
Expected goals
0.2–0.7
22.6%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Dougie Hamilton and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreHamiltonMarchenko
2025-12-31NJD 3–2 CBJ0G 0A 4S0G 1A 5S
2025-10-13NJD 3–2 CBJ0G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S
2024-12-19NJD 2–4 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2023-11-24NJD 1–2 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-06NJD 8–1 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-14NJD 3–2 CBJ0G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HamiltonMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hamilton and Marchenko done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 4–2. Hamilton had 0 points (0 goals) and Marchenko had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →