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Who to start · 2025-26

Dougie Hamilton vs Kyle Connor

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.

Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.

This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Connor has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.0 ESPN points to Hamilton's 1.6.

They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 16–16.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 1.42, High-danger chances 54.4%.

Connor's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 162, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.31, On-ice PDO 1017.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dougie Hamilton

1.74

fantasy points per game

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHamiltonConnor
Goals (+2)0.421.02
Assists (+1)0.330.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.37
Hits (+0.1)0.120.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.500.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Connor

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HamiltonConnor
2Team record in 11 meetings9
9Points in those games12

Hamilton 0G 9A, 32 SOG · Connor 6G 6A, 28 SOG

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)

4:52 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side

Shot attempts
2–6
25.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.4
20.6%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Dougie Hamilton and Kyle Connor
DateScoreHamiltonConnor
2026-01-27NJD 3–4 WPG0G 1A 3S0G 2A 2S
2023-11-14NJD 3–6 WPG0G 1A 3S2G 1A 5S
2023-04-02NJD 1–6 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2023-02-19NJD 4–2 WPG0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-10NJD 1–2 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2021-12-03NJD 4–8 WPG0G 1A 5S0G 1A 1S
2019-12-17CAR 6–3 WPG0G 3A 2S0G 0A 2S
2019-03-08CAR 1–8 WPG0G 1A 2S1G 1A 3S
2018-10-14CAR 1–3 WPG0G 1A 3S1G 0A 4S
2018-04-05CGY 1–2 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2018-01-20CGY 1–2 WPG0G 0A 8S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HamiltonConnor

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to Dvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.0 pts
    Likely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Kyle Connor?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 34 stats where both qualify.
How have Hamilton and Connor done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 2–9. Hamilton had 9 points (0 goals) and Connor had 12 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →