Who to start · 2025-26
Dougie Hamilton vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hamilton for 1.6 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Dougie Hamilton has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hamilton's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Ascension score 54, Penalty minutes 50.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, On-ice PDO 1006, Luck Meter +14.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dougie Hamilton
1.74
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dougie Hamilton has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hamilton | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.50 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hamilton 5G 7A, 59 SOG · Toffoli 3G 2A, 43 SOG
Hamilton blocked 6 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 2 of Hamilton's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)
9:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–6
- 53.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.2
- 28.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hamilton | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | NJD 2–5 SJS | 0G 2A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-24 | NJD 3–1 SJS | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-04 | NJD 2–3 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-10 | NJD 0–1 SJS | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-08 | NJD 3–2 CGY | 1G 1A 6S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2022-11-05 | NJD 4–3 CGY | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-03-16 | NJD 3–6 CGY | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2020-01-11 | CAR 2–0 LAK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-10-15 | CAR 2–0 LAK | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-02-26 | CAR 6–1 LAK | 2G 1A 9S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2018-12-02 | CAR 0–2 LAK | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2018-03-26 | CGY 0–3 LAK | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dougie Hamilton
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dougie Hamilton leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hamilton and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 8–7. Hamilton had 12 points (5 goals) and Toffoli had 5 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →