Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Guenther vs Kirill Marchenko

Dylan GuentherDylan GuentherMammoth · Right wingvsKirill MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoMaple Leafs · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.

Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Guenther has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Marchenko's 1.8.

Dylan Guenther has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Guenther's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.4, Faceoffs won 26, Transition attempts /60 2.52.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 73.4%, Ascension score 58, Blocked shots 40.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Guenther

2.36

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentherMarchenko
Goals (+2)1.200.63
Assists (+1)0.390.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.29
Hits (+0.1)0.080.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guenther vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentherMarchenko
2Team record in 3 meetings1
2Points in those games4

Guenther 2G 0A, 14 SOG · Marchenko 0G 4A, 12 SOG

On the ice against each other (Guenther's side)

7:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guenther's side

Shot attempts
11–11
50.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
42.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Guenther and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreGuentherMarchenko
2026-03-07UTA 5–4 CBJ1G 0A 3S0G 2A 5S
2026-01-11UTA 2–3 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 2A 4S
2024-03-26ARI 6–2 CBJ1G 0A 8S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentherMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Guenther or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guenther and Marchenko done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Guenther's team went 2–1. Guenther had 2 points (2 goals) and Marchenko had 4 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →