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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Guenther vs Mattias Ekholm

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week Guenther has 2 games left; Ekholm has 1 left. We project Guenther for 4.3 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.6.

Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Guenther's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.4, 20+ mph bursts 217, Luck Meter +42.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.038, Faceoffs won 0, Offensive-zone start % 59.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Guenther

2.36

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentherEkholm
Goals (+2)1.200.13
Assists (+1)0.390.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.15
Hits (+0.1)0.080.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guenther vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentherEkholm
3Team record in 9 meetings6
6Points in those games12

Guenther 1G 5A, 22 SOG · Ekholm 3G 9A, 17 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other1

Guenther blocked 2 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 1 of Guenther's.

On the ice against each other (Guenther's side)

12:28 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Guenther's side

Shot attempts
10–12
45.5%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
39.7%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Guenther and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreGuentherEkholm
2026-04-07UTA 6–5 EDM0G 2A 4S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-24UTA 2–5 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-28UTA 3–6 EDM0G 1A 3S1G 1A 2S
2025-03-18UTA 1–7 EDM0G 0A 3S1G 2A 3S
2024-12-31UTA 1–4 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 1A 2S
2024-11-29UTA 3–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-17ARI 5–2 EDM1G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-04-12ARI 3–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-19ARI 3–6 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentherEkholm

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

4.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ2.1 pts
    Schedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.1 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Guenther or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guenther and Ekholm done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Guenther's team went 3–6. Guenther had 6 points (1 goals) and Ekholm had 12 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →