Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Guenther vs Mikhail Sergachev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15.

Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.

This week Guenther has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Sergachev has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Sergachev's 3.0.

Dylan Guenther has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Guenther's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1015, Goals above expected +4.4, High-danger chances 51.9%.

Sergachev's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 125, Shorthanded points 2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Guenther

2.36

fantasy points per game

Mikhail Sergachev

2.15

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentherSergachev
Goals (+2)1.200.24
Assists (+1)0.390.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.21
Hits (+0.1)0.080.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.81

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guenther vs Sergachev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentherSergachev
1Shots blocked by the other0

Guenther blocked 1 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 0 of Guenther's.

18Goals set up by the other7

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

375:55 at 5-on-5 over 82 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27

Shot attempts
439–388
53.1%
Expected goals
20.6–18.1
53.2%
Goals
19–16

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentherSergachev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Mikhail Sergachev

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Guenther or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Mikhail Sergachev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →