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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Guenther vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Guenther has 2 games left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left. We project Guenther for 4.0 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.4.

Dylan Guenther has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Guenther's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 217, Plus/minus +7, On-ice PDO 1015.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 60.5%, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Faceoffs won 172.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Guenther

2.15

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentherNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)1.010.56
Assists (+1)0.420.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.18
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.180.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guenther vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentherNugent-Hopkins
3Team record in 10 meetings7
6Points in those games11

Guenther 1G 5A, 22 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 6G 5A, 29 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Guenther blocked 0 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Guenther's.

On the ice against each other (Guenther's side)

18:11 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Guenther's side

Shot attempts
25–21
54.3%
Expected goals
0.9–0.8
52.9%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Guenther and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreGuentherNugent-Hopkins
2026-04-07UTA 6–5 EDM0G 2A 4S1G 0A 3S
2026-03-24UTA 2–5 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-28UTA 3–6 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-18UTA 1–7 EDM0G 0A 3S1G 2A 4S
2024-12-31UTA 1–4 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-29UTA 3–4 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-04-17ARI 5–2 EDM1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-12ARI 3–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 6S
2024-02-19ARI 3–6 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-07ARI 2–8 EDM0G 0A 0S2G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentherNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

4.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ2.0 pts
    Schedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.0 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Guenther or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guenther and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Guenther's team went 3–7. Guenther had 6 points (1 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 11 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →