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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Guenther vs Steven Stamkos

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.

Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.

This week Guenther has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Stamkos has 1 left. We project Guenther for 3.5 ESPN points to Stamkos's 1.6.

Dylan Guenther has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Guenther's biggest edges: Plus/minus +7, Transition attempts /60 2.52, Luck Meter +41.

Stamkos's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.43, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.020, Faceoffs won 323.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Guenther

2.36

fantasy points per game

Steven Stamkos

2.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentherStamkos
Goals (+2)1.200.96
Assists (+1)0.390.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.24
Hits (+0.1)0.080.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guenther vs Stamkos

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentherStamkos
4Team record in 8 meetings4
10Points in those games8

Guenther 4G 6A, 23 SOG · Stamkos 4G 4A, 19 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Guenther blocked 0 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 1 of Guenther's.

On the ice against each other (Guenther's side)

13:27 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Guenther's side

Shot attempts
16–14
53.3%
Expected goals
1.1–0.5
70.5%
Goals
3–1

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Guenther and Steven Stamkos
DateScoreGuentherStamkos
2026-04-09UTA 4–1 NSH1G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2026-01-24UTA 5–2 NSH0G 2A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-12-29UTA 3–4 NSH1G 1A 6S2G 1A 3S
2025-10-11UTA 3–2 NSH1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-14UTA 7–3 NSH0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-10UTA 3–4 NSH1G 0A 6S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-09UTA 0–4 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-01-25ARI 3–6 TBL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentherStamkos

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Steven Stamkos

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.6 pts
    Schedule edge +12.4 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Guenther or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Steven Stamkos?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guenther and Stamkos done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Guenther's team went 4–4. Guenther had 10 points (4 goals) and Stamkos had 8 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →