Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Strome vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72.
Strome had 58 points in 80 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Strome has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Strome's 1.8.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Strome's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1031, Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Plus/minus +2.
Hertl's biggest edges: Hits 114, High-danger chances 59.2%, Scoring chances 56.7%.
Head to head on the dot, Strome leads Hertl 20–20.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Strome
1.72
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Strome | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.45 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Strome vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Strome 7G 8A, 20 SOG · Hertl 8G 9A, 38 SOG
Strome's offensive zone 12–8 · neutral 6–7 · Strome's defensive zone 2–5 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Strome's side)
8:32 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Strome's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–14
- 22.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.9
- 22.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Strome | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | WSH 5–4 VGK | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-02-27 | WSH 3–2 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-17 | WSH 5–2 VGK | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-10-15 | WSH 4–2 VGK | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-10-29 | WSH 3–1 SJS | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-04 | WSH 8–3 SJS | 1G 2A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-02-12 | WSH 1–4 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2022-04-23 | CHI 1–4 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-04-14 | CHI 5–4 SJS | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2019-11-05 | CHI 2–4 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2019-10-10 | CHI 4–5 SJS | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-03-28 | CHI 5–4 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 2A 3S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Strome
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Strome or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72. Strome had 58 points in 80 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Strome or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Strome and Hertl done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Strome's team went 8–6. Strome had 15 points (7 goals) and Hertl had 17 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Strome or Hertl?
- Against each other, Strome has won 20 and Hertl 20 of their 40 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →