Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Lindholm vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Lindholm projects to 1.78 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Lindholm has 1 game left; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Ferraro for 1.6 ESPN points to Lindholm's 1.2.

Mario Ferraro has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lindholm's biggest edges: Power-play share 63.2%, Offensive-zone start % 57.0%, Offensive-zone time 41.7%.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Hits 137, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.21, 20+ mph bursts 33.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Lindholm

1.78

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Elias Lindholm has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLindholmFerraro
Goals (+2)0.550.29
Assists (+1)0.460.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.13
Hits (+0.1)0.060.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.410.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lindholm vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LindholmFerraro
7Team record in 14 meetings7
13Points in those games3

Lindholm 5G 8A, 39 SOG · Ferraro 1G 2A, 18 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Lindholm blocked 0 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 1 of Lindholm's.

On the ice against each other (Lindholm's side)

11:42 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Lindholm's side

Shot attempts
16–7
69.6%
Expected goals
0.4–0.1
76.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Elias Lindholm and Mario Ferraro
DateScoreLindholmFerraro
2026-10-02BOS 4–3 WPG1G 0A 5S1G 0A 3S
2026-03-12BOS 2–4 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-23BOS 1–3 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-22BOS 1–3 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-20BOS 6–3 SJS1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-12CGY 3–1 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-25CGY 5–3 SJS0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-20CGY 7–3 SJS0G 3A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-07CGY 4–2 SJS2G 0A 7S0G 1A 0S
2021-12-07CGY 3–5 SJS0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-09CGY 1–4 SJS0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2020-02-10CGY 6–2 SJS0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LindholmFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Lindholm

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.2 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Elias Lindholm or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Lindholm projects to 1.78 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Lindholm or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mario Ferraro leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lindholm and Ferraro done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Lindholm's team went 7–7. Lindholm had 13 points (5 goals) and Ferraro had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →