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Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Lindholm vs Tomas Hertl

Elias LindholmElias LindholmBruins · CentrevsTomas HertlTomas HertlGolden Knights · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Elias Lindholm's 1.78.

Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Lindholm has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Lindholm's 1.2.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Lindholm's biggest edges: Goals above expected +0.3, Luck Meter +7, On-ice PDO 1001.

Hertl's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Scoring chances 56.7%, Fenwick 55.5%.

Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Lindholm 61–60.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Lindholm

1.78

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLindholmHertl
Goals (+2)0.550.63
Assists (+1)0.460.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.27
Hits (+0.1)0.060.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.410.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lindholm vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LindholmHertl
7Team record in 18 meetings11
16Points in those games19

Lindholm 7G 9A, 41 SOG · Hertl 11G 8A, 52 SOG

60Faceoffs against each other61

Lindholm's offensive zone 19–13 · neutral 14–11 · Lindholm's defensive zone 27–37 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Lindholm blocked 1 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Lindholm's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Lindholm's side)

6:51 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Lindholm's side

Shot attempts
13–4
76.5%
Expected goals
1.0–0.1
87.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Elias Lindholm and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreLindholmHertl
2026-01-22BOS 4–3 VGK1G 1A 3S1G 0A 9S
2025-10-16BOS 5–6 VGK0G 1A 3S1G 0A 6S
2025-03-20BOS 1–5 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-08BOS 3–4 VGK0G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2023-04-12CGY 3–1 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-25CGY 5–3 SJS0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-18CGY 5–2 SJS2G 1A 3S1G 1A 5S
2022-04-07CGY 4–2 SJS2G 0A 7S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-22CGY 3–4 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 1A 5S
2021-12-07CGY 3–5 SJS0G 1A 4S3G 0A 5S
2021-11-09CGY 1–4 SJS0G 0A 5S1G 0A 7S
2019-10-13CGY 1–3 SJS1G 0A 1S1G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LindholmHertl

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Lindholm

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.2 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Elias Lindholm or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Elias Lindholm's 1.78. Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Lindholm or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lindholm and Hertl done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Lindholm's team went 7–11. Lindholm had 16 points (7 goals) and Hertl had 19 (11 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Lindholm or Hertl?
Against each other, Lindholm has won 60 and Hertl 61 of their 121 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →