Who to start · 2025-26
Elias Pettersson vs Mario Ferraro
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.
Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.
This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.
Elias Pettersson has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Pettersson's biggest edges: Power-play share 72.8%, Offensive-zone time 42.8%, Power-play time per game 3:05.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Luck Meter +50, Goals above expected +2.7, On-ice PDO 1007.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Elias Pettersson
2.34
fantasy points per game
Mario Ferraro
1.71
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Pettersson | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.59 | 0.29 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.55 | 0.18 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.70 | 0.95 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Ferraro
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Pettersson 6G 14A, 51 SOG · Ferraro 0G 5A, 20 SOG
Pettersson blocked 1 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 6 of Pettersson's.
On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)
17:32 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–15
- 44.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.7
- 29.2%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Pettersson | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | VAN 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-27 | VAN 2–5 SJS | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-27 | VAN 3–6 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-28 | VAN 2–3 SJS | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-06 | VAN 2–1 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-23 | VAN 4–3 SJS | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-02 | VAN 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-23 | VAN 7–4 SJS | 0G 2A 7S | 0G 3A 0S |
| 2023-11-25 | VAN 3–4 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-11-20 | VAN 3–1 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-02 | VAN 10–1 SJS | 0G 3A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-23 | VAN 7–2 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Elias Pettersson
4games (2 left)
3.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ EDMOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs EDMOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Elias Pettersson or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Mario Ferraro?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Elias Pettersson leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Pettersson and Ferraro done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 15–5. Pettersson had 20 points (6 goals) and Ferraro had 5 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →