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Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Pettersson vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Frost's 2.6.

Morgan Frost has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Pettersson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.8, Ascension score 57, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.60.

Frost's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, Luck Meter +3, Faceoff win % 56.8%.

Head to head on the dot, Frost leads Pettersson 20–7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Pettersson

2.34

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPetterssonFrost
Goals (+2)0.590.50
Assists (+1)0.550.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.17
Hits (+0.1)0.130.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.700.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PetterssonFrost
4Team record in 10 meetings6
11Points in those games6

Pettersson 3G 8A, 18 SOG · Frost 4G 2A, 20 SOG

7Faceoffs against each other20

Pettersson's offensive zone 1–7 · neutral 3–6 · Pettersson's defensive zone 3–7 (2022-23 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other2

On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)

4:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side

Shot attempts
4–7
36.4%
Expected goals
0.4–0.3
54.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Elias Pettersson and Morgan Frost
DateScorePetterssonFrost
2026-03-28VAN 3–7 CGY0G 2A 3S1G 2A 1S
2025-11-23VAN 2–5 CGY0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2025-10-09VAN 5–1 CGY0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-12VAN 4–3 CGY1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-19VAN 3–0 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-11VAN 2–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-28VAN 1–4 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-18VAN 6–2 PHI2G 3A 4S1G 0A 3S
2022-10-15VAN 2–3 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2019-11-25VAN 1–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PetterssonFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Pettersson

4games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Elias Pettersson or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Frost leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pettersson and Frost done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 4–6. Pettersson had 11 points (3 goals) and Frost had 6 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Pettersson or Frost?
Against each other, Pettersson has won 7 and Frost 20 of their 27 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →