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Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Pettersson vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.

Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.3.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Pettersson's biggest edges: Blocked shots 108, Faceoffs won 642, Hardest shot 91.8.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Corsi 60.4%, Fenwick 59.7%, Scoring chances 55.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Pettersson

2.05

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPetterssonJarvis
Goals (+2)0.410.90
Assists (+1)0.490.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.32
Hits (+0.1)0.090.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.730.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PetterssonJarvis
4Team record in 10 meetings6
10Points in those games6

Pettersson 3G 7A, 12 SOG · Jarvis 0G 6A, 27 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other2

Pettersson's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Pettersson's defensive zone 0–1 (2023-24)

3Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other0

Pettersson blocked 2 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 0 of Pettersson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)

4:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side

Shot attempts
2–5
28.6%
Expected goals
0.0–0.5
0.6%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Elias Pettersson and Seth Jarvis
DateScorePetterssonJarvis
2026-03-04VAN 4–6 CAR0G 2A 2S0G 2A 2S
2025-11-14VAN 3–4 CAR1G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-01-10VAN 0–2 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-28VAN 3–4 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2024-02-06VAN 3–2 CAR0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S
2023-12-09VAN 4–3 CAR1G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-01-15VAN 4–3 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2022-10-24VAN 2–3 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2022-01-15VAN 1–4 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-12-12VAN 2–1 CAR1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PetterssonJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Pettersson

4games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Elias Pettersson or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pettersson and Jarvis done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 4–6. Pettersson had 10 points (3 goals) and Jarvis had 6 (0 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Pettersson or Jarvis?
Against each other, Pettersson has won 0 and Jarvis 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →