Who to start · 2025-26
Elias Pettersson vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Pettersson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.60, Top skating speed 22.7, Forecheck xG /60 0.27.
Hertl's biggest edges: Scoring chances 56.7%, Corsi 56.2%, Fenwick 55.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Pettersson 39–25.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Elias Pettersson
2.34
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Pettersson | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.55 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Pettersson 5G 17A, 56 SOG · Hertl 8G 11A, 48 SOG
Pettersson's offensive zone 7–18 · neutral 6–15 · Pettersson's defensive zone 12–6 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Pettersson blocked 2 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 2 of Pettersson's.
On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)
12:19 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–9
- 59.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.7
- 29.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Pettersson | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | VAN 1–2 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-30 | VAN 2–4 VGK | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2026-02-04 | VAN 2–5 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-22 | VAN 1–3 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-19 | VAN 1–3 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-08 | VAN 4–3 VGK | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-23 | VAN 7–4 SJS | 0G 2A 7S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-25 | VAN 3–4 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2023-11-20 | VAN 3–1 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-02 | VAN 10–1 SJS | 0G 3A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-23 | VAN 7–2 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-27 | VAN 6–2 SJS | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Elias Pettersson
4games (2 left)
3.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ EDMOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs EDMOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Elias Pettersson or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Pettersson and Hertl done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 15–10. Pettersson had 22 points (5 goals) and Hertl had 19 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Pettersson or Hertl?
- Against each other, Pettersson has won 25 and Hertl 39 of their 64 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →