Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Emil Heineman vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Emil Heineman's 1.57.

Heineman had 31 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Heineman has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Heineman's 1.2.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Heineman's biggest edges: Hits 247, Top skating speed 23.5, 20+ mph bursts 177.

Marner's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, Plus/minus +17, Assists 56.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Emil Heineman

1.57

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHeinemanMarner
Goals (+2)0.630.52
Assists (+1)0.100.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.020.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.21
Hits (+0.1)0.300.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Heineman vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HeinemanMarner
3Team record in 4 meetings1
2Points in those games4

Heineman 1G 1A, 7 SOG · Marner 2G 2A, 16 SOG

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Heineman's side)

6:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Heineman's side

Shot attempts
8–6
57.1%
Expected goals
0.1–0.2
30.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Emil Heineman and Mitch Marner
DateScoreHeinemanMarner
2025-12-09NYI 5–4 VGK0G 0A 1S1G 1A 5S
2025-11-13NYI 4–3 VGK1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-09MTL 1–4 TOR0G 1A 1S1G 1A 5S
2024-10-09MTL 1–0 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HeinemanMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Emil Heineman

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Emil Heineman or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Emil Heineman's 1.57. Heineman had 31 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Emil Heineman or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Heineman and Marner done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Heineman's team went 3–1. Heineman had 2 points (1 goals) and Marner had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →