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Who to start · 2025-26

Erik Karlsson vs Ivan Demidov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Demidov's 1.38.

Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Demidov had 62 in 82 games.

This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Demidov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Karlsson for 1.3 ESPN points to Demidov's 1.2.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Corsi 54.0%, Fenwick 53.1%.

Demidov's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 34, Offensive-zone start % 71.3%, On-ice PDO 1042.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Ivan Demidov

1.38

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKarlssonDemidov
Goals (+2)0.380.43
Assists (+1)0.700.49
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.11
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.15
Hits (+0.1)0.030.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.430.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Demidov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KarlssonDemidov
1Team record in 3 meetings2
2Points in those games3

Karlsson 1G 1A, 8 SOG · Demidov 1G 2A, 2 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)

9:23 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side

Shot attempts
14–5
73.7%
Expected goals
0.6–0.1
81.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Erik Karlsson and Ivan Demidov
DateScoreKarlssonDemidov
2025-12-21PIT 4–3 MTL0G 1A 1S1G 1A 2S
2025-12-20PIT 0–4 MTL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-11PIT 2–4 MTL1G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KarlssonDemidov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to D
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to D

Ivan Demidov

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RW
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RW

FAQ

Should I start Erik Karlsson or Ivan Demidov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Demidov's 1.38. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Demidov had 62 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Ivan Demidov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Karlsson and Demidov done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 1–2. Karlsson had 2 points (1 goals) and Demidov had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →