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Who to start · 2025-26

Erik Karlsson vs Miro Heiskanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Miro Heiskanen projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.

Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Heiskanen had 63 in 77 games.

This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Heiskanen has 1 left. We project Heiskanen for 2.2 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.

Miro Heiskanen has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 96.6, Corsi 54.0%, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.

Heiskanen's biggest edges: Blocked shots 132, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.037, Ascension score 50.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Miro Heiskanen

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Miro Heiskanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKarlssonHeiskanen
Goals (+2)0.380.22
Assists (+1)0.700.66
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.19
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.430.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Heiskanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KarlssonHeiskanen
5Team record in 14 meetings9
15Points in those games14

Karlsson 3G 12A, 34 SOG · Heiskanen 5G 9A, 34 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other5

Karlsson blocked 2 of Heiskanen's shots; Heiskanen blocked 5 of Karlsson's.

On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)

18:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side

Shot attempts
17–12
58.6%
Expected goals
0.6–0.3
63.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Erik Karlsson and Miro Heiskanen
DateScoreKarlssonHeiskanen
2026-03-28PIT 3–6 DAL1G 2A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-07PIT 2–3 DAL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-11PIT 1–7 DAL0G 0A 0S2G 0A 7S
2024-03-22PIT 2–4 DAL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2023-10-24PIT 1–4 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-18SJS 5–3 DAL1G 3A 1S0G 2A 2S
2022-12-31SJS 2–5 DAL0G 1A 4S0G 2A 3S
2022-11-11SJS 5–4 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2022-04-02SJS 4–5 DAL0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2021-12-11SJS 2–1 DAL1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2020-01-11SJS 2–1 DAL0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S
2018-12-13SJS 3–2 DAL0G 1A 1S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KarlssonHeiskanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Miro Heiskanen

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Erik Karlsson or Miro Heiskanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Miro Heiskanen projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Heiskanen had 63 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Miro Heiskanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Miro Heiskanen leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Karlsson and Heiskanen done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 5–9. Karlsson had 15 points (3 goals) and Heiskanen had 14 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →